On the other side of the cwa, less cloud cover is more likely, so areas in the pine barrens may drop even colder than fcst with some patchy frost there.

If clouds linger, temps may end up too warm. If the clouds hang in longer, temps will verify warmer. As a result, went with the colder blend of the MET/MAV as opposed to the milder NBM guidance. As skies clear late, good radiational cooling is expected for a few hours before dawn. With a broad area of high pres over the region, winds will be lgt overnight. There could be a few sprinkles across the interior, particularly the lwr Hudson Valley, until close to sunset. Clouds have been a bit more extensive than the NBM suggests per stlt, so went abv the guidance thru the first half of the ngt. Lake clouds will continue to spill into the area from the nw into the early eve, then will tend to dissipate thru the ngt with subsidence and the loss of llvl instability. Another low deepening to the west impacts the region Sunday into the beginning of next week. Deepening low pressure passes to the south Friday into Saturday night. High pressure returns briefly Thursday night. A weak low pressure trough and surface front will then move across Wednesday night into Thursday. High pressure will slowly build toward the area into Wednesday, while a series of weak upper level disturbances move across. An upper level low will continue to spin near Lake Huron through Tuesday. Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY (on/off) Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definitionĪrea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 334 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2023

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